The last manouver

The Egyptian president’s problem is that he thinks he is smart, when he is stupid. The problem with Obama, and the rest of the world leaders is that they are taking him seriously. The problem with Egypt is that this rotten regime managed throughout his three decades of Mubarak’s presidency to buy a lot of dogs among the Egyptian population to serve his purposes, and sell their country and their people for money.

Unlike what we might think that Mubarak was responding to the pressure of his own people when he made these ‘compromises’ in his speech, the truth couldn’t be further from that. What Mubarak was doing today is merely a response to the increased pressure from the western countries that were demanding from him to make a peaceful transition of power, and not to run for president in the next elections.

He even used the same words verbatim that Hillary Clinton and John Kerry used, he only took the effort to translate them to Arabic.

The truth is, Mubarak was never concerned about his people’s demands, and all the steps that he took since the beginning of the revolution until his speech tonight were all indication that he doesn’t want to take his people seriously. The change in his speech tonight was a reflection to the change in the language of western leaders towards him. He wants to show THEM that he is doing what they are asking him to do.

For his people of course he have something else up his sleeve. As soon as his speech ended, a couple of hundred of armed ‘pro-Mubarak protestors’ synchronically attacked the demonstrators in Cairo, Alexandria, and Port Saeid. They were probably trying to fulfill his promise that ‘either me or chaos’ and ‘I will die in Egypt’.

So that was the first aspect of his speech that we need to pay attention to. He wants to appear as a person who is going for compromises, while the truth is he is only buying time.

And this brings us to the second aspect, the relation with the western leaders. I doubt that there is any intelligent politician in the west who doesn’t think that a president who clings to power to this level is not only a dictator, but also a shameful person. At the same time, those presidents are still vaguely expressing their refusal for him remaining in power because they are flirting with the idea that he might ‘hand’ Egypt to someone that will continue to support their interests in the Middle East. Now they don’t know that, but this is also foolish.

At this moment in history, the western governments are giving Mubarak more than he deserves. They think bigger of him that what he really is. He lost Egypt to the people, and (again) if they want their interests in this area guaranteed they should reach out to people.

The west remains under the illusion that Mubarak can guarantee a ‘peaceful transition of power’ in Egypt, while the truth is, Mubarak himself is the biggest threat to the very peace in Egypt right now, both by remaining as a president and refusing to step down, and by the actions that he is taking as a president.

The third aspect is the low-lives that are continuing to support the president. I think the only reason that these people are still supporting him is because they are benefiting from it. Though the risk of clashes is alarming, this can actually have a good benefit, because it will mean that when this dictator will leave, his ‘dogs’ will leave with him.

“That Allah may separate the wicked from the good, The wicked will He place piece upon piece, and heap them all together, and consign them unto hell. Such verily are the losers.” (Quran 8:37)

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